Northland V Hawke’s Bay on 2025/08/29

Club Level Predictions

The first set of predictions treats a club as the smallest object, as the club develops its members, organizes a gameplan, and deploys its players as needed for each match. This club model is currently predicting Hawke’s Bay to win by 5.35.

Our Over/Under is 58.5 - and combined with the spread above, we have a predicted scoreline of 27 to 32

Each club has a rating and a rating deviation (similar to a Glicko rating), and expected performances can be generated. This allows for simulated matches and spreads like the ones below.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model